On the Rare Earth Frontier - UC Berkeley
???????????????????????????????????. ???????(Chen 1988a)????????????????????????. ???? ...
?????????+ ????????TD ??????????????????????????????????????. ?War and Order????????????????steam ??????????? ... ??????????? ?????????... ???????????????????????. ?? 100km ?????????????????????????????????????????. ????????? ... ???????????? - ?????????????????TD??????????????. ?????????????????????MD?. ????????TD??????????????. ????? 3 ? ... ????????? ??????????1?3?1??????????????. ????????????17B????????????????5 m?????????60 m???. ???????????? ... ?????????????????????????????????(??)??????????????. ??????? 13?525? ... ????17(Ci) =RiIJi(l?TD??=c;/Ri?17(Ci+1) =Ri+1. ? 1(1??l)??1 ... ????????????????????????1 - ???tD???..tD??. ???? 16lIg!L??C??2??M???????. ?????ALC????????{??.?????. ???}??????.??.??? ... ??????????????????????? - ?????? 50 ???????????????????????????????? ... ????????????????????. ??????????????? ... H25.3.31 ?? (????? ????? ?A? ??? ?B ... - ?????????????????. 196,000 ?????????. 12 H.24.7.17 ??????????????????????. 150,000 ?????. 13 H.24.7.20 ?????? ... Storm surge frequency, magnitude, and cumulative ... - EGUsphereEnsemble forecasting has proven valuable in medium-range global model forecasts (6-10 days). (Kalnay 2003). Short-range ensemble forecasting. Further Improvements to the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction ...In November 1970, a severe storm in Bangladesh killed 300,000 people within 3 days. In April 1991, the storm and surges hit 16 of. Bangladesh's total 60 ... Phytoplankton reaction to an intense storm in the north-western ...Tropical cyclone trajectory forecast accuracy is low : the average error for a 24 hours forecast is about 200 km. When a hurricane is crossing an island, a ... 7.3 REAL-TIME STORM-SCALE ENSEMBLE FORECAST ...For instance, from the data assessment, maximum surge has been identified occurs during tropical depression (TD) with sustained wind speed less than 20 m/s, ...
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