Evaluation of ECMWF forecasts
In situations that are especially complex and difficult to model (e.g. short-term convective weather), the levels of forecast uncertainty may be quite high.
Skillful joint probabilistic weather forecasting from marginals(1952) Recond low temperatures in the mid-Atlantic and east central states, October 20?22, 1952. Monthly Weather Review 80(10): 195?202. Persson, A. (1993) ... Improving High-Resolution Weather Forecasts Using ... - NCAR/MMM| Afficher les résultats avec : A robust error correction method for numerical weather - EGUspheretd
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